MinerAlert
MinerAlert
Economic data, forecasting, and applied research for the Paso del Norte region and the broader U.S.–Mexico border economy.
The Border Region Modeling Project is an independent research unit within the Department of Economics and Finance at The University of Texas at El Paso.
Led by Tom Fullerton, Ph.D., the project houses the 250-equation Borderplex Econometric Forecasting Model. The model supports short-term cyclical forecasts published each year during the fourth quarter, periodic long-term structural projections, and a refereed technical report series focused on Borderplex policy and development issues.
Geographic coverage
Annual regional forecast
The annual report presents recent historical data and forecasts for more than 195 variables across El Paso and the surrounding region. Coverage includes demography, employment, personal income, retail sales, residential real estate, transportation, international commerce, and municipal water consumption.
The report focuses primarily on the El Paso metropolitan economy and includes dedicated sections on Las Cruces, Ciudad Juárez, and Chihuahua City. Hard copies are available for $30.
Two-year national forecast
The forecast provides an overview of expected changes in the Mexican economy over a two-year horizon. It brings together projections from economists at prominent banks, universities, and other institutions in Mexico and the United States.
Variables include gross domestic product, private and government consumption, total investment, exports, imports, inflation, the yield on 28-day treasury certificates, and the peso-dollar exchange rate.
Historical data, recurring indicators, forecasts, and technical research provide multiple views of regional economic performance.
Data for El Paso, Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua City, and Las Cruces cover personal income, employment, retail sales, real estate, transportation, lodging, water consumption, demography, and related economic measures.
The Barometer summarizes recent regional trends through charts showing year-over-year comparisons and longer-term business-cycle movement across El Paso, Las Cruces, cross-border commerce, and northern Mexico.
Browse current and past forecasts, Borderplex Business Barometer editions, economic outlook highlights, and technical studies examining border policy and regional development.
Questions about regional forecasts, historical data, publications, or the Borderplex Econometric Forecasting Model may be directed to the project director.
Project director
Department of Economics and Finance
Woody L. Hunt College of Business
The University of Texas at El Paso